Publications

Dataset publications

When citing the use of TAMSAT data, we recommend using these three publications:

Maidment, R. I., D. Grimes, E. Black, E. Tarnavsky, M. Young, H. Greatrex, R. P. Allan et al. (2017). A new, long-term daily satellite-based rainfall dataset for operational monitoring in Africa. Nature Scientific Data, 4: 170063. DOI: 10.1038/sdata.2017.63.

Tarnavsky, E., Grimes, D., Maidment, R., Black, E., Allan, R., Stringer, M., Chadwick, R. and Kayitakire, F., (2014). Extension of the TAMSAT Satellite-based Rainfall Monitoring over Africa and from 1983 to present. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53(12): 2805-2822. DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0016.1.

Maidment, R., Grimes, D., Allan, R., Tarnavsky, E., Stringer, M., Hewison, T., Roebeling, R., and Black, E. (2014). The 30-year TAMSAT African Rainfall Climatology and Time-series (TARCAT) Data Set. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119(10): 619-610, 644. DOI: 10.1002/2014JD021927.

 

 

All publications

2020

Young, M., Heinrich, V., Black, E. and Asfaw, D. (2020). Optimal spatial scales for seasonal forecasts over Africa. Environ. Res. Lett., in press. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab94e9.

Maidment R., Black E., Greatrex H., Young M. (2020) TAMSAT. In: Levizzani V., Kidd C., Kirschbaum D., Kummerow C., Nakamura K., Turk F. (eds) Satellite Precipitation Measurement. Advances in Global Change Research, vol 67. Springer, Cham. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-24568-9_22.

2019

Wainwright, C.M., Marsham, J.H., Keane, R.J. et al. (2019). ‘Eastern African Paradox’ rainfall decline due to shorter not less intense Long Rains. npj Clim Atmos Sci., 2(34). DOI: 10.1038/s41612-019-0091-7.

Wainwright, C.M., Hirons, L.C., Klingaman, N.P. et al. (2019). The impact of air–sea coupling and ocean biases on the seasonal cycle of southern West African precipitation. Clim. Dyn., 53: 7027–7044. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04973-0.

Hart, N.C., Washington R. and Maidment R. I. (2019). Deep Convection over Africa: annual cycle, ENSO, and trends in the hotspots. J. Climate, 0. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0274.1.

MacDonald, A.M., Bell, R.A., Kebede, S., Azagegn, T., Yehualaeshet, T., Pichon, F., Young, M., McKenzie, A.A., Lapworth, D.J., Black, E. and Calow, R.C. (2019). Groundwater and resilience to drought in the Ethiopian Highlands. Environmental Research Letters, 14(9): 095003. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab282f.

Stein, T.H., Keat W., Maidment R. I., Landman S., Becker E., Boyd D., Bodas-Salcedo A., Pankiewicz G. and Webster S. (2019). An evaluation of clouds and precipitation in convection-permitting forecasts for South Africa. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 233–254. DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-18-0080.1.

2018

Asfaw, D., Black, E., Brown, M., Nicklin, K. J., Otu-Larbi, F., Pinnington, E., Challinor, A., Maidment, R., and Quaife, T. (2018). TAMSAT-ALERT v1: a new framework for agricultural decision support, Geosci. Model Dev., 11: 2353-2371. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-2353-2018.

Dunning, C., Black, E. and Allan, R. (2018). Later wet seasons with more intense rainfall over Africa under future climate change. Journal of Climate, 31: 9719-9738. ISSN 0894-8755. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0102.1.

Pinnington, E., Quaife, T. and Black, E. (2018). Impact of remotely sensed soil moisture and precipitation on soil moisture prediction in a data assimilation system with the JULES land surface model. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22(4): 2575–2588. DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-2575-2018.

Young, M.P., Chiu, J.C., Williams, C.J.R., Stein, T.H.M., Stengel, M., Fielding, M.D. and Black, E. (2018). Spatio‐temporal variability of warm rain events over southern West Africa from geostationary satellite observations for climate monitoring and model evaluation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 144(716). DOI: 10.1002/qj.3372.

Dinku T., Funk, C., Peterson P., Maidment R. I., Tadesse T., Gadain H. and Ceccato P. (2018). Validation of the CHIRPS Satellite Rainfall Estimates over eastern Africa. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 144 (Suppl. 1): 292–312. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3244.

2017

Dunning, C. M., Allan, R. P. and Black, E. (2017). Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11): 114001. ISSN 1748-9326. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa869e.

Maidment, R. I., D. Grimes, E. Black, E. Tarnavsky, M. Young, H. Greatrex, R. P. Allan et al. (2017). A new, long-term daily satellite-based rainfall dataset for operational monitoring in Africa Nature Scientific Data 4: 170063 DOI: 10.1038/sdata.2017.63.

Brown, M., Black, E., Asfaw, D. and Otu‐Larbi, F. (2017).  Monitoring drought in Ghana using TAMSAT‐ALERT: a new decision support system. Weather, 72(7): 201-205. DOI: 10.1002/wea.3033.

2016

Black, E., Greatrex, H., Young, M., and Maidment, R. (2016). Incorporating Satellite Data Into Weather Index Insurance. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(10): ES203-ES206. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0148.1.

Balan Sarojini, B., Stott, P. and Black, E. (2016). Detection and attribution of human influence on regional precipitation. Nature Climate Change. DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2976.

Black, E., Tarnavsky, E., Maidment, R., Greatrex, H.Mookerjee, A.Quaife, T. and Brown, M. (2016). The Use of Remotely Sensed Rainfall for Managing Drought Risk: A Case Study of Weather Index Insurance in Zambia. Remote Sensing, 8:42. DOI: 10.3390/rs8040342.

Dunning, C. M., Black, E. C., and Allan, R. P. (2016). The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121(19). DOI: 10.1002/2016JD025428.

2015

Black, E., Tarnavsky, E., Maidment, R., Greatrex, H.Mookerjee, A.,Quaife, T. and Price, J. (2015). Exploiting Satellite-Based Rainfall for Weather Index Insurance: The Challenges of Spatial and Temporal Aggregation.In Proceedings of the 1st Int. Electron. Conf. Remote Sens., 22 June–5 July 2015; Sciforum Electronic Conference Series(1): f002. DOI: 10.3390/ecrs-1-f002.

Maidment, R.I., Allan, R.P. and Black, E. (2015). Recent observed and simulated changes in precipitation over Africa. Geophysical Research Letters, 42: 8155–8164. DOI: 10.1002/2015GL065765.

Hegerl, G., Black, E., Allan, R. et al (2015). Quantifying changes in the global water cycle. BAMS, 96:1097-1115. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00212.1.

Toté, C., Patricio, D., Boogaard, H., van der Wijngaart, R., Tarnavsky, E. and Funk, C.(2015). Evaluation of satellite rainfall estimates for drought and flood monitoring in Mozambique. Remote Sensing, 7: 1758-1776. ISSN 2072-4292. DOI: 10.3390/rs70201758.

Skinner, C.J., Bellerby, T.J., Greatrex, H., and Grimes, D.I.F., (2015). Hydrological Modelling using Ensemble Satellite Rainfall Estimates in a Sparsely Gauged River Basin: The need for whole-ensemble Calibration. Journal of Hydrology, 522(March 2015):110-122. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.12.052.

2014

Tarnavsky, E., Grimes, D., Maidment, R., Black, E., Allan, R., Stringer, M., Chadwick, R. and Kayitakire, F., (2014). Extension of the TAMSAT Satellite-based Rainfall Monitoring over Africa and from 1983 to present. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53(12): 2805-2822. DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0016.1.

Maidment, R., Grimes, D., Allan, R., Tarnavsky, E., Stringer, M., Hewison, T., Roebeling, R., and Black, E. (2014). The 30-year TAMSAT African Rainfall Climatology and Time-series (TARCAT) Data Set. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119(10): 619-610, 644. DOI: 10.1002/2014JD021927.

Young, M.P., Williams, C.J.R., Chiu, J.C., Maidment, R.I., and Chen, S.-H., (2014). Investigation of Discrepancies in Satellite Rainfall Estimates over Ethiopia. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15: 2347-2369. DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-0111.1.

Greatrex, H.L., Grimes, D.I.F. and Wheeler, T.R. (2014). Advances in the Stochastic Modeling of Satellite-Derived Rainfall Estimates Using a Sparse Calibration Dataset. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15:1810–1831. DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-0145.1.

2013

Maidment, R.I., Grimes, D.I.F., Allan, R.P., Greatrex, H., Rojas, O. and Leo, O. (2013).  Evaluation of satellite-based and model re-analysis rainfall estimates for Uganda. Meteorological Applications, 20(3): 308-317. DOI: 10.1002/met.1283.

2012

Chadwick, R. and Grimes, D.I.F. (2012). An Artificial Neural Network Approach to Multispectral Rainfall Estimation over Africa. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 13: 913-931. DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-11-081.1.

2011

Diro, G.T., Grimes, D.I.F. and Black, E. (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part I. Observation and modelling. Climate Dynamics, 37(1-2): 103-119. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0837-8.

Diro, G.T., Grimes, D.I.F. and Black, E. (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part II. Seasonal forecasting. Climate Dynamics, 37(1-2): 121-131. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0896-x

2010

Chadwick, R.S., Grimes, D.I.F., Saunders, R.W., Francis, P.N. and Blackmore, T.A. (2010) The TAMORA algorithm: satellite rainfall estimates over West Africa using multi-spectral SEVIRI data. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 25: 3-9. DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-25-3-2010.

Grimes, D.I.F. , and Pardo-Igúzquiza, E. (2010) Geostatistical Analysis of Rainfall. Geographical Analysis, 42: 136-160. DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4632.2010.00787.x.

2009

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D.I.F., Black, E., O'Neill, A. and Pardo-Iguzquiza, E. (2009) Evaluation of reanalysis rainfall estimates over Ethiopia. International Journal of Climatology, 29(1): 67-78. ISSN 0899-8418x. DOI: 10.1002/joc.1699.

2008

Grimes, D.I.F. (2008) Geostatistical Tools for Validation of Satellite and NWP Model Rainfall. Hydrological modelling and the water cycle: coupling the atmospheric and hydrological models, 63(2): 117-143. ISSN 0921-092X. 10.1002/joc.1699

Grimes, D.I.F. (2008) An ensemble approach to uncertainty estimation for satellite-based rainfall estimates. Hydrological modelling and the water cycle: coupling the atmospheric and hydrological models, 63(2): 145-162. ISSN 0921-092X. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-77843-1_7.

Stisen, S., Jensen, K.H. , Sandholt, I. and Grimes, D.I.F. (2008) A remote sensing driven distributed hydrological model of the Senegal River basin. Journal of Hydrology, 354 (1-4). pp. 131-148. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.03.006.

Diro, G. T., Black, E. and Grimes, D.I.F. (2008) Seasonal forecasting of Ethiopian spring rains. Meteorological Applications, 15(1): 73-83. ISSN 1350-4827. DOI: 10.1002/met.63.

2007

Teo, C.-K. and Grimes, D.I.F. (2007) Stochastic modelling of rainfall from satellite data. Journal of Hydrology, 346(1-2): 33-50. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.08.014.

2006

Washington, R., Harrison, M., Conway, D., Black, E., Challinor, A. , Grimes, D., Jones, R., Morse, A., Kay, G. and Todd, M. (2006) African climate change - Taking the shorter route. Bulletin Of The American Meteorological Society, 87(10): 1355-1366. ISSN 0003-0007. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-87-10-1355.

Coppola, E., Grimes, D.I.F., Verdecchia, M. and Visconti, G. (2006) Validation of improved TAMANN neural network for operational satellite-derived rainfall estimation in Africa. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 45(11): 1557-1572. ISSN 1558-8424. DOI: 10.1175/JAM2426.1.

Pardo-Iguzquiza, P., Grimes, D.I.F. and Teo, C.K. (2006) Assessing the uncertainty associated with intermittent rainfall fields. Water Resources Research, 42(1). ISSN 0043-1397. DOI: 10.1029/2004WR003740.

2005

Pardo-Iguzquiza, E., Dowd, P.A. and Grimes, D.I.F. (2005) An automatic moving window approach for mapping meteorological data. International Journal Of Climatology, 25(5): 665-678. DOI: 10.1002/joc.1128.

Wheeler, T.R., Challinor, A.J., Craufurd, P.Q., Slingo, J.M. and Grimes, D.I.F. (2005) Forecasting the harvest - from proverbs to PCs. Biologist, 52(1): 45-49.

Challinor, A.J., Wheeler, T.R., Slingo, J.M., Craufurd, P.Q. and Grimes, D.I.F. (2005) Simulation of crop yields using ERA-40: Limits to skill and nonstationarity in weather-yield relationships. Journal Of Applied Meteorology, 44(4): 516-531. DOI: 10.1175/JAM2212.1.

Diro, G.T., Grimes, D.I.F., Black, E. and O'Neill, A. (2005) Validation of area rainfall estimates over North-eastern Africa. Poster presentation. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna, 24-29 April 2005.

Kiat, T.C., Grimes, D.I.F. and Gomez, B. (2005) Uncertainty in modelled ground nut yield derived from satellite based rainfall estimates. Poster presentation. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna 24-29 April 2005.

2004

Gissila, T., Black, E., Grimes, D.I.F. and Slingo, J. M. (2004) Seasonal forecasting of the Ethiopian summer rains. International Journal Of Climatology, 24(11): 1345-1358. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1078.

Challinor, A.J., Wheeler, T.R., Craufurd, P.Q., Slingo, J.M. and Grimes, D.I.F. (2004) Design and optimisation of a large-area process-based model for annual crops. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 124(1-2): 99-120. DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2004.01.002.

2003

Grimes, D.I.F. (2003). Satellite-based rainfall monitoring for food security in Africa, in Crop and Rangeland Monitoring in Eastern Africa - for Early Warning and Food Security, Proceedings of the International Workshop on Crop and Rangeland Monitoring in East Africa, Nairobi, January 2003. Rijks, D., Rembold, F., Negre, T, Gommes, R., Cherlet, M. (eds). European Commission (pub).

Grimes, D.I.F., Coppola, E., Verdecchia, M. and Visconti, G. (2003) A neural network approach to real-time rainfall estimation for Africa. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 4: 1119-1133. DOI: 10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004<1119:ANNATR>2.0.CO;2.

Grimes, D.I.F. and Diop, M. (2003) Satellite-based rainfall estimation for river flow forecasting in Africa. I: Rainfall estimates and hydrological forecasts. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 48: 567-584. DOI: 10.1623/hysj.48.4.567.51410.

Diop, M. and Grimes, D.I.F. (2003) Satellite-based rainfall estimation for river flow forecasting in Africa. II: African Easterly Waves, convection and rainfall. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 48: 585-599. DOI: 10.1623/hysj.48.4.585.51414.

Challinor, A.J., Slingo, J.M., Wheeler, T.R., Craufurd, P.Q. and Grimes, D.I.F. (2003) Toward a combined seasonal weather and crop productivity forecasting system: Determination of the working spatial scale. Journal Of Applied Meteorology, 42: 175-192. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0450(2003)042<0175:TACSWA>2.0.CO;2.

2001

Coppola, E., Grimes, D.I.F.,Verdecchia, M., Visconti, G. (2001). Application of Neural Networks to improved rainfall estimation from satellite data for Africa. Proceedings of the EUMETSAT Satellite Data Users Conference, Antalya, 1-5 October, 2001. DOI: 10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004<1119:ANNATR>2.0.CO;2/

Thorne, V., Coakley, P., Grimes, D. and Dugdale, G. (2001). Comparison of TAMSAT and CPC rainfall estimates with rainfall, for southern Africa. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 22(10): 1951-1974. DOI: 10.1080/01431160118816.

Morland, J.C., Grimes, D.I.F., Hewison T.J. (2001). Satellite observation of the microwave emissivity of a semi-arid land surface. Remote Sensing of Environment, 77(2): 149-164. DOI: 10.1016/S0034-4257(01)00202-4.

2000

Todd, M., Djepa, V. , Dawson, T., Grimes, D.I.F., Kniveton, D.R., Lucio, F., Manague, A., Muchindea, M., Sakala, W. (2000). Monitoring the hydrological cycle of Southern Africa for operational appliactions: Development of algorithms for improved estimation of surface and atmospheric water fluxes from Meteosat Second Generation satellite data. Proceedings of the First MSG RAO Workshop, Bologna, 17-19 May 2000, ESA SP-452.

Morland, J.C., Grimes, D.I.F., Dugdale G., Hewison T.J. (2000). The estimation of land surface emissivities at 24 to 157 GHz using remotely sensed aircraft data. Remote Sensing of Environment, 73: 323-336. DOI: 10.1016/S0034-4257(00)00108-5.